Tag: Inflation

Real Fed Funds Rate / FFR rally to stop in June 2023. The big crisis coming

Signals from a recent BlacRock paper, confirmed by JP Morgan, show the FED will probably pause at 5.5% on June 14. Because the storm is coming…   Further signals coming from falling tax receipts in the USA leading to debt limit deadline to early June…

War economy: the Ukraine economic shock. EIB report

The EIB’s report on the “Ukraine economic shock” brings to attention the current and future macroeconomy trend in Europe. Pessimistic forecast in all sectors and aspects of life are assigned to the war in Ukraine -though it is to say that the rallies of raw material and energy prices begun in 2021 in concomitance with …

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The loose tights between inflation and unemployment

… And the myth of immaculate inflation. Paul Krugman explains. Read also on The Phillips Curve and the Lucas Critique here